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The Effect of Newspaper Entry and Exit on Electoral Politics
Electoral Politics Newspaper Entry
2015/7/17
We use new data on entries and exits of US daily newspapers from
1869 to 2004 to estimate effects on political participation, party vote
shares, and electoral competitiveness.
Reputation and the Effect of International Law on Preferences and Beliefs
Preferences and Beliefs Reputation
2015/6/5
How does international law affect preferences and beliefs about foreign policy? I
investigate this question by offering the first-ever experimental analysis of treaty commitments.
The experiments,...
Estimating the Effect of Elite Communications on Public Opinion Using Instrumental Variables
Elite Communications Public Opinion Instrumental Variables
2015/6/5
A central question in the study of democratic polities is the extent to which elite opinion about policy shapes public opinion.Estimating the impact of elites on mass opinion is difficult because of e...
Regime fatigue : a cognitive-psychological model for identifying a socialized negativity effect in U.S. Senatorial and Gubernatorial elections from 1960-2008
party fatigue regime fatigue homophily negativity effect incumbent candidates elections social networks impression forming schema model calculating voter converse stimson
2015/1/7
This research project proposes to try to isolate and measure the influence of “regime fatigue” on gubernatorial elections and senatorial elections in the United States where there is no incumbent runn...
If You’re Against Them You’re with Us: The Effect of Expropriation on Autocratic Survival
Credible commitment information assymetries autocratic survival expropriation & redistribution
2014/3/20
This paper advances a theory of why some dictators weaken the elite through expropriation while others do not. When the organization that launches a new dictator into power is uncertain about whether ...