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The problem of testing instantaneous causality between variables with time-varying unconditional variance is investigated. It is shown that the classi-cal tests based on the assumption of stationary p...
Classical analysis of variance requires that model terms be labeled as xed or random and typically culminate by comparing variability from each batch (factor) to variability from errors; without a st...
We estimate the trend in the transitory variance of male earnings in the United States using the Michigan Panel Study of Income Dynamics from 1970 to 2004. Using an error components model and simpler ...
We establish a simple variance inequality for U-statistics whose underlying sequence of random variables is an ergodic Markov Chain.
In the game of Scrabble, letter tiles are drawn uniformly at random from a bag. The variability of possible draws as the game progresses is a source of variation that makes it more likely for an infer...
Let X be any absolutely continuous random variable from the integrated Pearson family and assume that X has finite moments of any order. Equivalently, X is a linear (non-constant) transformation of Y ...
Normal variance-mean mixtures encompass a large family of useful distributions such as the generalized hyperbolic distribution, which itself includes the Student t, Laplace, hyperbolic, normal inverse...
The danger of confusing long-range dependence with non-stationarity has been pointed out by many authors.
Recently, the Allan variance (AVAR), suggested more than 40 years ago to describe the instability of frequency standards, has been used extensively to study various time series in astrometry, geodes...
The problem of test of fit for Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) processes with unconditionally heteroscedastic errors is studied. The volatility structure is deterministic but time-varying and allows for...
For a Markov transition kernel $P$ and a probability distribution $ \mu$ on nonnegative integers, a time-sampled Markov chain evolves according to the transition kernel $P_{\mu} = \sum_k \mu(k)P^k.$ I...
Nash’s solution in his celebrated article on the bargaining problem calling for maximization of product of marginal utilities is revisited; a different line of argument supporting such a solution ...
A general purpose variance reduction technique for Markov chain Monte Carlo estimators based on the zero-variance principle introduced in the physics literature by Assaraf and Caffarel (1999, 2003), i...
We show that changes in the innovation covariance matrix of a vector of series can generate spurious rejections of the null hypothesis of co-integration when applying standard residual-based co-inte...
Accurate knowledge of the null distribution of hypothesis tests is important for valid application of the tests. In previous papers and software, the asymptotic null distribution of likelihood ratio t...

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