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Comment on “Harold Jeffreys's Theory of Probability Revisited”
Comment Harold Jeffreys's Theory Probability Revisited
2010/3/9
I have always felt very guilty about Harold Jef-
freys’s Theory of Probability (referred to as ToP,
hereafter). I take seriously George Barnard’s injunc-
tion (Barnard, 1996) to have some familiari...
Comment on “Harold Jeffreys's Theory of Probability Revisited”
Comment Harold Jeffreys's Theory Probability Revisited
2010/3/9
The authors are to be congratulated for their deep
appreciation of Jeffreys’s famous book, Theory of
Probability, and their very impressive, knowledge-
able consideration of its contents, chapter b...
Comment on “Harold Jeffreys's Theory of Probability Revisited”
Comment Harold Jeffreys's Theory Probability Revisited
2010/3/9
I was taught by Harold Jeffreys, having attended
his postgraduate lectures at Cambridge in the aca-
demic year 1946–1947, and also knew him when I
joined the Faculty there. I thought I appreciated ...
A Default Conjugate Prior for Variance Components in Generalized Linear Mixed Models(Comment on Article by Browne and Draper)
Choice of prior hierarchical models noninformative priors random effects
2009/9/21
For a scalar random-eect variance, Browne and Draper (2005) have found that the uniform prior works well. It would be valuable to know more about the vector case, in which a second-stage prior on the ...
Prior distributions for variance parameters in hierarchical models(Comment on Article by Browne and Draper)
Bayesian inference conditional conjugacy folded-noncentral-t distribution hierarchical model multilevel mode weakly informative prior distribution
2009/9/21
Various noninformative prior distributions have been suggested for
scale parameters in hierarchical models. We construct a new folded-noncentral-t
family of conditionally conjugate priors for hierar...
Frequentist Bayes is Objective(Comment on Articles by Berger and by Goldstein)
coverage frequency probability objective Bayesian inference
2009/9/21
In this comment, I argue that Bayes procedures with good frequentist
properties are objective. I introduce the idea with a short play, followed by some
commentary.
Science, Subjectivity and Software(Comment on Articles by Berger and by Goldstein)
Science Subjectivity Software
2009/9/21
The dangerous heresy of so-called ojective Bayesian methods is again propounded by Berger. These comments are my attempt to save Bayesian statistics.
Philosophy is consequential because it guides action. In statistics, our beliefs about
the nature of statistical inference guide us both in selecting statistical methods to apply
and in choosing pro...
Does it Make Sense to be an "Objective Bayesian"?(Comment on Articles by Berger and by Goldstein)
Dutch book Holy Grail Normative theory Subjective likelihood
2009/9/21
The subjective-objective dialogue between Goldstein (2006) and Berger
(2006) lays out strong cases for what seem to be two schools of Bayesian thought.
But a closer look suggests to me that while bo...
Coherence and calibration: comments on subjectivity and "objectivity" in Bayesian analysis(Comment on Articles by Berger and by Goldstein)
Meta-analysis out-of-sample predictive calibration
2009/9/21
In this contribution to the discussion of Th case for objective
Bayesian analysis by James Berger and Sujective Bayesian analysis: princi-
ples and practice by Michael Goldstein, I argue that (a) al...
On the Selection of Irregular，Misspecified Regression Models：a Comment on Folklore
Consistency misspecified models model selection regression
2009/3/5
In this paper we will investigate the consequences of applying model selection methods under regularity conditions that are sufficiently general to encompass (i) stochastic models involving non-statio...
“TAXATION IN ENGLAND DURING THE INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION”：A Comment
INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION TAXATION
2008/12/24
Max Hartwell’s paper gives usa picture of the good old days. Having
just paid my taxes, or at any rate the federal-income-tax portion
of them, Jam not inclined to view favorably any level of taxes o...
One feels constrained to step lightly in an examination of the Laffer
curve. Laffer contends that higher tax rates, by removing incentive,
will discourage work, lead to less output, and thereby redu...
“RESOLVING THE TRAGEDY OF THE COMMONS”：——A Comment
wildlife economic goods nonanimate goods
2008/12/24
At the outset I think it is important to recognize a fundamental conceptual
distinction. That distinction is between wildlife as an input
into a production process and wildlife as an output valued b...
The role of the critic is always enjoyable when it affords an opportunity
to set the record straight. I am afraid, however, that no such
opportunity is afforded here, for Professor Wagner has himsel...