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Spatial econometrics relies on spatial weights matrix to specify the cross sectional depen-dence, which might not be unique. This paper proposes a model selection procedure to choose an optimal weight...
Spatial econometrics relies on spatial weights matrix to specify the cross sectional depen-dence, which might not be unique. This paper proposes a model selection procedure to choose an optimal weight...
In this paper we study the limiting distributions of the least-squares estimators for the non-stationary first-order threshold autoregressive (TAR(1)) model. It is proved that the limiting behaviors o...
This report introduces a parsimonious structure for mixture of au- toregressive models, where the weighting coefficients are determined through latent random variables as functions of all past obser...
This paper introduces a new parsimonious structure for mixture of autoregressive models. The weighting coefficients are determined through latent random variables, following a hidden Markov model. ...
We investigate the estimation of parameters in the random coefficient autoregressive model Xk = ('+bk)Xk−1 +ek, where (', !2, 2) is the parameter of the process, Eb20= !2, Ee20= 2. We consid...
Conditional expectations given past observations in stationary time series are usually estimated directly by kernel estimators, or by plugging in kernel estimators for transition densities. We show ...

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