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Automatic generation of large ensembles for air quality forecasting using the Polyphemus system
Automatic generation large ensembles air quality forecasting Polyphemus system
2010/2/5
This paper describes a method to automatically generate a large ensemble of air quality simulations. Such an ensemble may be useful for quantifying uncertainty, improving forecasts, evaluating risks, ...
Potential impacts from biological aerosols on ensembles of continental clouds simulated numerically
Potential impacts biological aerosols ensembles continental clouds
2010/1/20
An aerosol-cloud modeling framework is described to simulate the activation of ice particles and droplets by biological aerosol particles, such as airborne ice-nucleation active (INA) bacteria. It inc...
On evaluation of ensemble precipitation forecasts with observation-based ensembles
evaluation ensemble precipitation forecasts observation-based ensembles
2010/1/26
Spatial interpolation of precipitation data is uncertain. How important is this uncertainty and how can it be considered in evaluation of high-resolution probabilistic precipitation forecasts? These q...