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Storm surge in the Adriatic Sea: observational and numerical diagnosis of an extreme event
Storm surge Adriatic Sea
2010/1/27
Storm surge events occur in the Adriatic Sea, in particular during autumn and winter, often producing flooding in Venice. Sea levels are forecasted by numerical models, which require wind and pressure...
Extreme event return times in long-term memory processes near 1/f
Extreme event return times long-term memory processes 1/f
2009/11/2
The distribution of extreme event return times and their correlations are analyzed in observed and simulated long-term memory (LTM) time series with 1/f power spectra. The analysis is based on tropica...
Combination of different types of ensembles for the adaptive simulation of probabilistic flood forecasts:hindcasts for the Mulde 2002 extreme event
adaptive simulation probabilistic flood forecasts extreme event
2009/10/30
Flood forecasts are essential to issue reliable flood warnings and to initiate flood control measures on time. The accuracy and the lead time of the predictions for head waters primarily depend on the...