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Earthquake forecasting in Italy,before and after Umbria-Marche seismic sequence 1997.A review of the earthquake occurrence modeling at different spatio-temporal-magnitude scales
earthquake forecasting
2015/9/1
The main goal of this work is to review the scientific researches carried out before and after the Umbria-Marche sequence related to the earthquake forecasting/prediction in Italy. In particular, I fo...
HAZGRIDX: earthquake forecasting model for ML≥ 5.0 earthquakes in Italy based on spatially smoothed seismicity
earthquakes Italy
2015/8/28
We present a five-year, time-independent, earthquake-forecast model for earthquake magnitudes of 5.0 and greater in Italy using spatially smoothed seismicity data. The model is called HAZGRIDX, and it...
Comment on the report "Operational Earthquake Forecasting" by the International Commission on Earthquake Forecasting for Civil Protection
Comment Critical-systems Earthquake forecasting ICEF Report Operational earthquake forecasting Shear-wave splitting Stress-forecasting
2015/8/24
The recently published report Operational Earthquake Forecasting: State of Knowledge and Guidelines for Utilization by the International Commission on Earthquake Forecasting for Civil Protection (ICEF...
Short-term earthquake forecasting experiment before and during the L’Aquila (central Italy) seismic sequence of April 2009
L’Aquila earthquake ETAS model PPE model Probability forecast
2015/8/18
In this paper, we compare the forecasting performance of several statistical models, which are used to describe the occurrence process of earthquakes in forecasting the short-term earthquake probabili...
No proven method is currently available for the reliable short time prediction of earthquakes (minutes to months). However, it is possible to make probabilistic hazard assessments for earthquake risk....