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China's Emergence in the World Economy and Business Cycles in Latin America
China GVAR Great Recession emerging markets international business cycle Latin America trade linkages
2012/10/25
The international business cycle is very important for Latin America’s economic performance as the recent global crisis vividly illustrated. This paper investigates how changes in trade linkages betwe...
Nowcasting Business Cycles Using Toll Data
business cycles data mining evaluating forecasts macroeconomic forecasting new products transportation production forecasting nowcasting telemetry
2012/11/1
Nowcasting has been a challenge in the recent economic crisis. We introduce the Toll Index, a new monthly indicator for business cycle forecasting and demonstrate its relevance using German data. The ...
Productivity trends in business cycles：a visual essay
Productivity trends business cycles visual essay
2009/7/22
Productivity measures are used to assess the state of the economy. The series of charts in this visual essay provides an overview of labor productivity and related measures in the U.S. nonfarm busines...
Productivity trends in business cycles: a visual essay。
Which industries are sensitive to business cycles?
business cycles industry’s historical correlation demand
2009/4/24
An analysis of the 1994-2005 projections can be used to identify industries that are projected to move differently with business cycles in the future than in the past, and to identify the industries a...
Lumpy Capital, Labor Market Search and Employment Dynamics over Business Cycles
labor market search lumpy capital business cycle job creation job destruction
2010/7/1
This paper incorporates labor search frictions into a model with lumpy investment to explain a set of firm-size-related facts about the United States labor market dynamics over business cycles. Contra...
Speaker
Professor Gang Gong
School of Economics and Management, Tsinghua University
Topic
Monopolistic Competition and Nonclearing Labor Market in Business Cycles
Time
December 1, 2004（Wed.）2:00...